Optik Rathenow vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
14º
10º
70
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
0 - 3
OPT
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
SVS
31%
21%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
OPT
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
5 - 1
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 0
DSC
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |