OPS vs PonPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
1º
13
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 38 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 27 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 25 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 24 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 23 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 23 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 15 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PSK
1 - 6
OPS
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
0 - 4
ROP
57%
19%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAJ
3 - 1
OPS
23%
20%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OPS
4 - 2
ROI
85%
10%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OPS
1 - 1
KPS
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
PonPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
TER
81%
12%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 7
PON
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
OSP
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 2
PON
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PON
7 - 1
KPS
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |