OPS vs KePS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
1º
14
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 38 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 27 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 25 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 24 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 23 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 23 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 15 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 10 |
10º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
OPS
10%
14%
76%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OPS
2 - 0
OSP
85%
9%
5%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KPS
0 - 3
OPS
40%
21%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ROP
0 - 1
OPS
35%
21%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
HAU
1 - 1
OPS
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
KePS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PON
7 - 1
KPS
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HAU
2 - 0
KPS
27%
20%
53%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KPS
0 - 3
OPS
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KPS
1 - 1
PON
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
KPS
2 - 1
PSK
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |