Oppagne-Wéris vs Bastogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
2º
19
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
65% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oppagne-Wéris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
OPP
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 4
OPP
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
OPP
1 - 2
RES
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 1
RUS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MES
2 - 2
OPP
27%
21%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MES
3 - 1
BAS
64%
18%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 3
JEU
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
3 - 1
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |