Operário vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
OPE
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
PRA
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
CFB
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
1DE
3 - 0
OPE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CFB
3 - 1
IDE
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
0 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
1 - 0
1DE
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRA
3 - 1
IDE
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
2 - 2
SIN
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |