Operário vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
5 - 0
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
4 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
CES
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
ADN
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACV
0 - 0
ADN
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOC
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |