Operário PR vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
3 - 0
OPE
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
OPE
35%
31%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
SPO
40%
30%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 3
CRB
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |