USL League One Normal Season Round 8

One Knoxville vs Forward Madison analysis

One Knoxville Forward Madison
47 ELO 50
-4% Tilt -0.9%
3344º General ELO ranking 3091º
60º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
39.1%
One Knoxville
25.2%
Draw
35.8%
Forward Madison

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
One Knoxville
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.8%
Win probability
Forward Madison
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
One Knoxville
+6%
-25%
Forward Madison

Points and table prediction

One Knoxville
Their league position
Forward Madison
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Omaha
65
65
100%
North Carolina
63
63
100%
Northern Colorado
62
62
100%
Charlotte Independence
49
49
100%
Greenville Triumph
48
48
100%
Forward Madison
43
43
100%
Tormenta
42
42
100%
One Knoxville
38
38
100%
Lexington
32
32
100%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Richmond Kickers
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Fuego FC
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
One Knoxville
Forward Madison
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

One Knoxville
Forward Madison
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

One Knoxville
One Knoxville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
0 - 1
One Knoxville
OKS
57%
22%
21%
45 49 4 0
22 Apr. 2023
OKS
One Knoxville
0 - 2
Tormenta
TOR
29%
26%
45%
46 56 10 -1
13 Apr. 2023
OKS
One Knoxville
1 - 1
Fuego FC
CVF
34%
25%
41%
46 51 5 0
09 Apr. 2023
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 - 1
One Knoxville
OKS
66%
19%
15%
46 53 7 0
05 Apr. 2023
OKS
One Knoxville
1 - 2
Memphis 901
MEM
21%
21%
58%
46 56 10 0

Matches

Forward Madison
Forward Madison
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2023
FMA
Forward Madison
0 - 0
Charlotte Independence
CHA
28%
26%
46%
50 56 6 0
16 Apr. 2023
FMA
Forward Madison
4 - 1
Greenville Triumph
GTR
31%
26%
43%
48 52 4 +2
12 Apr. 2023
FMA
Forward Madison
2 - 3
Chicago House AC
CAC
73%
17%
10%
48 26 22 0
09 Apr. 2023
LSC
Lexington
0 - 0
Forward Madison
FMA
5%
12%
83%
49 9 40 -1
26 Mar. 2023
OMA
Union Omaha
1 - 1
Forward Madison
FMA
58%
23%
19%
48 55 7 +1