11 Esperanças vs GD Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
11 Esperanças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
4 - 1
ESP
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEG
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
IMO
2 - 1
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
GUI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 0
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MEG
1 - 7
LAG
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
IMO
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 1
LAG
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LAG
2 - 1
SIL
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |