Olympique St Quentin vs Lusitanos de Saint-Maur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
10º
15º
11º
34
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOB
3 - 1
OLY
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
OLY
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SML
2 - 2
OLY
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
FLE
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos de Saint-Maur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SML
3 - 1
ESW
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
SML
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SML
3 - 2
SPI
37%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
STL
3 - 1
SML
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SML
2 - 2
OLY
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |