Olympique Marseille vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
AUX
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
LMU
0 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
REN
0 - 2
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CAM
1 - 4
MAR
8%
19%
73%
|
86 | 10 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 1
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 2
GIR
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
USL
1 - 3
LYO
6%
16%
78%
|
90 | 21 | 69 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 0
LMU
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
LYO
17%
24%
58%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |