Olympique Marseille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
PSG
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1975 |
MON
0 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LYO
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
MAR
3 - 1
REN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
NÎM
2 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
TRO
3 - 1
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |