Olympique Marseille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
NIC
1 - 3
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOC
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1974 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
ASS
3 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
MET
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1974 |
PSG
2 - 2
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
MET
0 - 2
BAS
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1974 |
REN
0 - 0
MET
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
NAN
2 - 2
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |