Champions League 2ª Fase - Grupo D. Jor. 3

Olympique Marseille vs Chelsea analysis

Olympique Marseille Chelsea
86 ELO 89
-6% Tilt -2.3%
85º General ELO ranking 19º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.6%
Olympique Marseille
27.3%
Draw
33.1%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.1%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympique Marseille
-4%
+6%
Chelsea

ELO progression

Olympique Marseille
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2000
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
52%
24%
24%
86 87 1 0
15 Feb. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
4 - 1
PSG
PSG
45%
26%
29%
86 87 1 0
12 Feb. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 4
FC Gueugnon
FCG
68%
21%
11%
86 71 15 0
06 Feb. 2000
MET
Metz
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
44%
26%
30%
86 85 1 0
02 Feb. 2000
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
60%
23%
17%
86 81 5 0

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2000
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 1
Watford
WAT
75%
16%
9%
89 62 27 0
20 Feb. 2000
CHL
Chelsea
5 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
76%
17%
7%
89 67 22 0
12 Feb. 2000
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 1
Wimbledon FC
WIM
69%
19%
12%
89 76 13 0
05 Feb. 2000
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
36%
26%
38%
88 82 6 +1
31 Jan. 2000
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 1
Leicester
LEI
67%
21%
13%
88 80 8 0
X