Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 2
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
MPL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 2
MAR
21%
26%
53%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
TFC
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
AUX
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 2
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
AUX
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |