Champions League Grupo D round 1

Olympiacos vs Valencia analysis

Olympiacos Valencia
83 ELO 92
21% Tilt 1.1%
449º General ELO ranking 56º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Olympiacos
28.6%
Draw
37.3%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
Olympiacos
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.3%
Win probability
Valencia
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympiacos
+27%
+7%
Valencia

ELO progression

Olympiacos
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2006
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 0
PAOK
PAO
55%
23%
23%
83 83 0 0
27 Aug. 2006
PAN
Panionios
0 - 3
Olympiacos
OLP
45%
26%
29%
83 83 0 0
19 Aug. 2006
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 1
Xanthi
XAN
68%
19%
13%
83 78 5 0
14 May. 2006
OLP
Olympiacos
0 - 0
Ionikos Nikea
ION
76%
15%
8%
83 71 12 0
10 May. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 3
Olympiacos
OLP
47%
24%
30%
82 83 1 +1

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2006
ATM
Atlético
0 - 1
Valencia
VCF
36%
30%
35%
91 88 3 0
26 Aug. 2006
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Real Betis
BET
64%
22%
15%
91 87 4 0
22 Aug. 2006
VCF
Valencia
3 - 0
Salzburg
RBS
71%
19%
10%
91 82 9 0
09 Aug. 2006
RBS
Salzburg
1 - 0
Valencia
VCF
27%
30%
44%
91 82 9 0
16 May. 2006
OSA
Osasuna
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
35%
29%
36%
91 87 4 0