Olvera vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+539%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ESP
6 - 1
OLV
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
OLV
3 - 1
SIS
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
SAL
6 - 0
OLV
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
RLI
4 - 1
OLV
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OLV
3 - 5
BEN
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
UDT
4 - 0
UDR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ATC
2 - 0
UDT
37%
25%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
UDT
4 - 3
PAT
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDT
2 - 2
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
JIM
1 - 1
UDT
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |