Gibraleón vs Manzanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
OCF
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LAP
3 - 2
OCF
53%
22%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PLU
2 - 1
OCF
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
2 - 0
ALJ
72%
17%
11%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
OCF
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manzanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
MAN
32%
23%
46%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAN
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAP
2 - 0
MAN
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 2
PLU
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MAN
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |