Gibraleón vs Aljaraque CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 2
OCF
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
1 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OCF
2 - 1
SBA
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 5
OCF
15%
18%
66%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OCF
2 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MAN
27%
22%
51%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
ALJ
64%
19%
17%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LAP
3 - 0
ALJ
66%
19%
16%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ALJ
4 - 3
PLU
42%
22%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
ALJ
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |