FC AGMK vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
5º
14
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 1
OLM
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 1
TER
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BUX
3 - 1
OLM
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 0
XOR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 3
NAV
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
2 - 3
AND
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 0
XOR
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 2
DSA
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |