FC AGMK vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
5º
26
1º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
12% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 1
BUX
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
SAM
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -3 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSK
4 - 1
OLM
71%
17%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
QIZ
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 2
OLM
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ALH
4 - 0
PAK
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
PAK
1 - 0
ALH
24%
21%
55%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 1
SAD
35%
22%
43%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
GHA
1 - 0
PAK
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SIL
0 - 0
PAK
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |