FC AGMK vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
9º
2º
41
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
OLM
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
FKL
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
NAS
2 - 0
OLM
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
TER
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 1
OLM
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
NAV
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
NEF
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
QIZ
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 0
NEF
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 0
FKO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |