AFC Champions League Elite Qualification Preliminary Round Semi-finals

FC AGMK vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis

FC AGMK Istiklol Dushanbe
65 ELO 54
5.1% Tilt 9.2%
2125º General ELO ranking 9505º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.8%
FC AGMK
20.7%
Draw
19.5%
Istiklol Dushanbe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
FC AGMK
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.5%
Win probability
Istiklol Dushanbe
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC AGMK
+10%
+19%
Istiklol Dushanbe

ELO progression

FC AGMK
Istiklol Dushanbe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC AGMK
FC AGMK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2018
OLM
FC AGMK
3 - 0
Qizilqum
QIZ
55%
24%
21%
63 59 4 0
25 Nov. 2018
NAS
Nasaf Qarshi
2 - 2
FC AGMK
OLM
54%
24%
22%
63 69 6 0
09 Nov. 2018
OLM
FC AGMK
1 - 3
Kokand 1912
QOQ
55%
24%
20%
64 60 4 -1
04 Nov. 2018
SOG
Sogdiana
1 - 0
FC AGMK
OLM
21%
25%
54%
65 54 11 -1
31 Oct. 2018
NEF
Neftchi
1 - 1
FC AGMK
OLM
22%
25%
53%
65 55 10 0

Matches

Istiklol Dushanbe
Istiklol Dushanbe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2018
BAR
Barqchi Hisor
0 - 2
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
7%
14%
79%
54 30 24 0
07 Nov. 2018
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
0 - 1
ZSKA Dushanbe
CSK
90%
8%
3%
55 36 19 -1
03 Nov. 2018
PAN
Panjsher Balkh
0 - 2
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
6%
13%
81%
55 30 25 0
23 Sep. 2018
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
1 - 0
FK Khujand
KHU
69%
18%
13%
55 48 7 0
18 Sep. 2018
FKK
FK Kuktosh
2 - 3
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
12%
17%
71%
54 39 15 +1