Oliver vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PED
1 - 1
OLI
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
TER
47%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
UDS
0 - 2
OLI
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LAF
0 - 4
OLI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 4
ANE
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ICF
2 - 3
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 1
ICF
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ICF
2 - 0
ALF
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 2
ICF
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ICF
1 - 2
FUE
42%
25%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |