Olimpia Itá vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Itá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SPT
2 - 0
OLI
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
OLI
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
SPO
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CER
1 - 4
SAN
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
CER
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
SDP
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPT
2 - 0
CER
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |