Copa Libertadores Round 4

Olimpia vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Olimpia Sporting Cristal
77 ELO 80
-0.3% Tilt 2.4%
804º General ELO ranking 761º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.1%
Olimpia
25.7%
Draw
30.2%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
Olimpia
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olimpia
-7%
-10%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Olimpia
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpia
Olimpia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2004
OLI
Olimpia
5 - 3
Sport Colombia
SPC
72%
18%
10%
77 64 13 0
10 Mar. 2004
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
60%
21%
19%
77 80 3 0
05 Mar. 2004
LIB
Libertad
4 - 1
Olimpia
OLI
49%
25%
26%
78 79 1 -1
29 Feb. 2004
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 1
Sportivo Luqueño
LQE
54%
24%
22%
78 72 6 0
22 Feb. 2004
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
Olimpia
OLI
41%
26%
33%
78 74 4 0

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2004
CAU
Atletico Universidad
0 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
20%
26%
54%
80 66 14 0
10 Mar. 2004
SPC
Sporting Cristal
3 - 2
Olimpia
OLI
60%
21%
19%
80 77 3 0
06 Mar. 2004
SPC
Sporting Cristal
0 - 1
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
64%
20%
16%
80 78 2 0
29 Feb. 2004
SPC
Sporting Cristal
5 - 0
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
65%
19%
15%
80 74 6 0
27 Feb. 2004
CEN
Rosario Central
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
47%
25%
28%
80 79 1 0