Olimpia vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
47%
27%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
OLI
1 - 2
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
COB
1 - 0
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 1
COB
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
1 - 0
NAC
3%
28%
69%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1983 |
MWA
3 - 1
NAC
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
95%
3%
2%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 2
MWA
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +2 |