Oleiros vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
PRA
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
OLE
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 1
ESA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
RIO
18%
27%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |