Old Madrid vs Rebels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
76.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-110%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
9º
32
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 42 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 38 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 38 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 34 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
82% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
OMV
1 - 6
WOL
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VGU
8 - 0
OMV
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OMV
0 - 2
SUB
15%
17%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
OLU
8 - 0
OMV
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REB
8 - 1
OMV
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rebels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PVI
0 - 10
REB
9%
13%
79%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 4
REB
51%
20%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
ISL
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REB
8 - 1
OMV
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
REB
0 - 2
OLU
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |