OK Častkovce vs FC Malacky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
14º
12º
39
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OK Častkovce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
OKC
1 - 2
TRE
5%
12%
83%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
OKC
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
OKC
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OKC
4 - 2
DUB
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BLV
3 - 0
OKC
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
FC Malacky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 3
SLO
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCM
0 - 1
TJB
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FCM
88%
10%
3%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCM
5 - 0
FOM
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +5 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 0
FCM
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |