Oita Trinita vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
OIT
47%
24%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FCY
2 - 1
OIT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
OIT
1 - 1
JUB
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
TOK
3 - 1
OIT
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 3
JEF
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
URA
3 - 2
FCY
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
URA
3 - 2
JUB
27%
23%
50%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
URA
7 - 2
TOK
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
VIS
2 - 3
URA
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
URA
2 - 1
FCT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |