Ogre United vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+299%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
14º
14º
19
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 55 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 53 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 47 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 38 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 32 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 29 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 28 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 24 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
89.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SKA
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
OUD
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 69 | 61 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 1
OUD
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
OUD
4 - 0
RIG
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
OUD
1 - 1
PAR
16%
17%
67%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALB
19%
23%
59%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
SMI
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
NOM
22%
19%
60%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 2
ALB
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 2
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |