Nikšić vs Kom Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
10º
10º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 73.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nikšić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MLJ
2 - 0
OFK
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 0
ZET
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRB
1 - 1
OFK
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 2
BOK
33%
28%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 1
IGA
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kom Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KOM
2 - 1
IGA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
KOM
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOM
3 - 2
FKM
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 3
KOM
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOK
1 - 0
KOM
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |