Greek Super League Normal Season Round 19

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis analysis

OFI Asteras Tripolis
63 ELO 66
7.5% Tilt -9.3%
803º General ELO ranking 783º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
40.4%
OFI
27.5%
Draw
32.2%
Asteras Tripolis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
OFI
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.2%
Win probability
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
OFI
+1%
+7%
Asteras Tripolis

Points and table prediction

OFI
Their league position
Asteras Tripolis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
14º
25
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Panathinaikos
61
61
100%
AEK Athens
59
59
100%
Olympiacos
56
56
100%
PAOK
54
54
100%
Aris Thessaloniki
40
40
100%
Volos NFC
39
39
100%
Atromitos
29
29
100%
Panetolikos
29
29
100%
OFI
26
26
100%
Asteras Tripolis
10º
25
25
10º
100%
PAS Giannina
11º
23
23
11º
100%
Ionikos Nikea
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Levadiakos
13º
17
17
13º
0%
Lamia
14º
17
17
14º
0%
Expected probabilities
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

OFI
OFI
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
PAO
PAOK
0 - 0
OFI
OFI
77%
16%
7%
62 80 18 0
09 Jan. 2023
PGE
Panetolikos
0 - 4
OFI
OFI
50%
27%
24%
61 64 3 +1
03 Jan. 2023
OFI
OFI
0 - 0
Volos NFC
VNF
31%
26%
43%
61 68 7 0
28 Dec. 2022
PAN
Panathinaikos
1 - 1
OFI
OFI
77%
17%
7%
60 83 23 +1
22 Dec. 2022
OFI
OFI
0 - 1
Atromitos
ATR
36%
26%
38%
61 66 5 -1

Matches

Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
0 - 0
Levadiakos
LEV
34%
28%
38%
67 72 5 0
08 Jan. 2023
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
3 - 0
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
63%
23%
14%
67 78 11 0
04 Jan. 2023
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
3 - 0
Lamia
LAM
62%
24%
14%
67 60 7 0
28 Dec. 2022
OLP
Olympiacos
5 - 0
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
70%
20%
10%
67 80 13 0
21 Dec. 2022
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
0 - 0
Volos NFC
VNF
38%
27%
35%
67 69 2 0