OFC Sliven 2000 vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OFC Sliven 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
SLI
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SLI
1 - 0
NEF
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LYU
3 - 1
SLI
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
SLI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOB
1 - 0
NES
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NES
0 - 3
ETA
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NES
2 - 3
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
NES
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |