O'Connor Knights vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
COO
1 - 1
OKF
29%
21%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OKF
2 - 1
CAN
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
OKF
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OKF
3 - 0
YOO
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OKF
2 - 1
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
MON
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
MON
60%
20%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
TUG
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
COO
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GUN
1 - 0
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |