O'Connor Knights vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
5 - 1
TUG
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
OKF
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OKF
1 - 1
CAN
12%
15%
73%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
OKF
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OKF
3 - 1
BEL
52%
21%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WWF
0 - 2
MON
14%
18%
69%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
GUN
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
COO
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUN
0 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |