O'Connor Knights vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
84.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.4%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
OKF
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUG
1 - 2
OKF
18%
19%
63%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
3 - 2
COO
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
3 - 0
CAN
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GUN
4 - 2
OKF
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 0
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 0
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
4 - 2
MFC
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |