Oberliga Nordost-Sud Jor. 23

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Heidenauer SV analysis

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Heidenauer SV
34 ELO 16
4.6% Tilt 5%
10358º General ELO ranking 23559º
527º Country ELO ranking 1191º
ELO win probability
80.5%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
12.7%
Draw
6.8%
Heidenauer SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.8%
Win probability
Heidenauer SV
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Heidenauer SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2014
BUD
Budissa Bautzen
1 - 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
65%
20%
15%
33 47 14 0
06 Apr. 2014
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1 - 1
Hallescher FC II
HAL
15%
20%
65%
33 55 22 0
29 Mar. 2014
SCH
Schott Jena
0 - 2
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
38%
23%
39%
32 27 5 +1
22 Mar. 2014
OBE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden II
DYN
41%
23%
35%
31 35 4 +1
15 Mar. 2014
GRU
Grün-Weiß Piesteritz
3 - 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
OBE
26%
22%
52%
33 23 10 -2

Matches

Heidenauer SV
Heidenauer SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2014
HEI
Heidenauer SV
1 - 6
VfL Halle
VFL
22%
22%
55%
18 30 12 0
06 Apr. 2014
CAR
Carl Zeiss Jena II
5 - 1
Heidenauer SV
HEI
77%
14%
9%
18 30 12 0
30 Mar. 2014
HEI
Heidenauer SV
0 - 2
Einheit Rudolstadt
EIN
37%
24%
39%
19 25 6 -1
15 Mar. 2014
HEI
Heidenauer SV
2 - 3
Union Sandersdorf
UNI
38%
23%
38%
20 23 3 -1
08 Mar. 2014
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue II
4 - 0
Heidenauer SV
HEI
63%
19%
17%
21 25 4 -1
X