Oberachern vs FC 08 Villingen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
13º
6º
12
5º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
90% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 0
OBE
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
VFR
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCZ
0 - 3
OBE
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 2
RAV
46%
21%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OBE
10 - 2
OFF
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Villingen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
FCV
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 1
RAV
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 0
FCV
49%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
TSV
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SKW
3 - 5
FCV
12%
16%
72%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |