Oberachern vs Bruchsal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPI
5 - 1
OBE
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 2
AST
9%
17%
74%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 0
OBE
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OBE
1 - 4
KSC
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
OBE
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bruchsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BRU
0 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 0
BRU
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BRU
1 - 1
VFR
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 1
BRU
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRU
4 - 1
STU
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |