Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAF
4 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
MUR
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 2
ALE
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
JUA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
UDG
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
PAC
5 - 0
CAÑ
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 1
CAÑ
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |