O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
OHI
3 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OHI
1 - 0
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
OHI
2 - 2
UCH
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IQU
2 - 5
OHI
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CUR
2 - 3
OHI
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |