O'Higgins vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
OHI
1 - 0
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NUB
0 - 2
OHI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 0
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
OHI
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OHI
2 - 0
SWA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UCO
7 - 1
HUA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 2
HUA
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
UCO
5 - 3
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |