O'Higgins vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
LOT
1 - 0
OHI
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
OHI
1 - 1
NTA
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
OHI
2 - 4
MAG
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
OHI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
OHI
1 - 1
ULC
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
CON
0 - 5
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
LOT
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
CON
4 - 2
LOT
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CDP
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
NTA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |