NZ Knights vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 0
NZK
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
49%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PER
4 - 1
NZK
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 2
CCM
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
2 - 3
BRI
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
SYD
3 - 0
BRI
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 2
MEL
35%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |