Nybergsund IL-Trysil vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nybergsund IL-Trysil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FKT
1 - 0
NYB
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
OCF
2 - 4
NYB
14%
18%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NYB
4 - 1
FFL
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 2
NYB
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NYB
0 - 0
ELV
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
HON
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ROA
1 - 6
HON
6%
13%
82%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 0
HON
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HON
3 - 1
ELP
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
STB
0 - 2
HON
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |