Nws Spirit vs Hills Brumbies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NWS
1 - 3
SGS
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
3 - 1
NWS
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NWS
2 - 1
CCM
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NWS
1 - 2
STG
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WSW
4 - 1
NWS
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hills Brumbies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SUT
2 - 1
HIB
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 1
MAN
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HIB
0 - 3
ROC
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WOL
4 - 0
HIB
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 0
HIB
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |