Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 3
NUR
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NUR
3 - 1
HEI
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
NUR
65%
19%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 2
RAI
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
WAC
2 - 0
NUR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIK
3 - 0
ILL
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 3
VIK
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIK
4 - 0
BUC
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 3
VIK
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIK
2 - 0
VRG
58%
19%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |