Nürnberg II vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AUG
1 - 0
NUR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NUR
2 - 0
186
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 3
NUR
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NUR
0 - 1
BUC
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 0
NUR
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ING
1 - 2
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
EIN
1 - 3
ING
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 0
ING
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ING
0 - 2
BAY
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |